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Local regression of polling between Harris, Trump, Kennedy, West and Stein conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided). The dashed line is when Harris became the presumptive Democratic nominee. Source of poll aggregation. Dates administered.
RealClearPolitics aggregates polls for presidential and congressional races into averages, known as the RealClearPolitics average, which are widely cited by media outlets. Both major presidential campaigns in 2004 said that the RCP polling average was the best metric of the race. [44] In 2008, Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight said that ...
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September 19, 2024 at 5:51 PM. Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are locked in a close race with seven weeks left. A slew of new national and swing-state polls have come out in the past 24 hours ...
The comments come as the Real Clear Politics polling average shows Harris with a slim 1.5-point lead over Trump nationally, a significant shift from the three-point lead Trump held over President ...
Gallup was the first polling organization to conduct accurate opinion polling for United States presidential elections. [1] Gallup polling has often been accurate in predicting the outcome of presidential elections and the margin of victory for the winner. [2] However, it missed some close elections: 1948, 1976 and 2004, the popular vote in ...
The comments come as the Real Clear Politics polling average shows Harris with a slim 1.5 point lead over former President Trump nationally, a significant shift from the three-point lead Trump ...
Historical average polling approval of each presidency since 1953. Polling figures are the unweighted mean of both polling averages reported by Real Clear Politics and FiveThirtyEight. [25] [26] [27] Figures listed for President Joe Biden are current as of August 22, 2024 and will be updated through completion of the first term of his ...